GeoPoll Report: Nigeria Nationwide Protests

Following the recent anti-government Gen Z protests in Kenya, and student protests in Bangladesh that led to the resignation of the Prime Minister, Sheikh Hasina after 15 years in power, youth in Nigeria held nationwide protests of their own starting on Thursday, 1st August 2024. 

Organizers called for 10 days of demonstrations to push the government to address high living costs, state neglect, and worsening security. The protests ended on the fifth day, amidst a deadly security clampdown and after Nigerian President Bola Tinubu called for an end to the protests. 

Demonstrators argued that Nigeria’s political elite did not indicate that they understood the issues of ordinary Nigerians and demanded a reversal of President Bola Tinubu’s economic reforms implemented last year. 

It is against this background that GeoPoll conducted a nationwide survey to capture the sentiments and perceptions of Nigerian youth regarding the state of the country and the recent protests. This report provides a detailed analysis of these findings, highlighting important demographic insights where relevant. 

Summary  

• Average Participation in Protests: Half of the respondents reported participating in the protest.  

• Reasons for Protesting: The protest was primarily driven by widespread concerns over the high cost of living, rampant corruption, unemployment, security issues, and inadequate education and healthcare. These were the most frequently cited reasons behind the unrest. 

• Expected Protest Impact: Majority believe the protests will lead to a positive outcome, resulting in a stronger government response and greater youth involvement in politics. 

•  Widespread discontent with the government: 88% feel that the government fails to adequately address youth concerns. 

• Important Issues at hand:  The youth emphasized that urgent issues such as the cost of living, unemployment, corruption, security, access to affordable education, and improved healthcare need immediate attention. 

• Brands: The majority of the respondents (85%) believe that it is important or very important for brands to engage in social causes. Brands such as Coca-Cola, Dangote, and MTN stand out as some of the brands that are doing a good job in supporting social causes. 

• Media Coverage: Media coverage of the protests received moderate (47%) attention. Television is the most trusted source of information (79%) regarding the protests, with 51% and 48% relying on Facebook and Radio, respectively.   

•  Youth and voting: The increased youth participation is expected to have significant implications, with 83% expressing a strong intention to vote in the upcoming elections. This is an improvement from the last election, during which 24% confirmed that they didn’t vote despite being eligible.“ 

Demographic Overview 

The survey collected responses from a diverse group of young Nigerians. The majority of respondents were aged 25-34 (48%), with 69% being male and 31% being female. Most had college degrees (70%), while 29% were unemployed and 27% owned small businesses. Respondents were mainly from urban (72%) and rural village (16%). 

Key Findings 

Mood and Current Feelings  

We started by asking the respondents how they felt at that point (2nd and 5th August). The results revealed a diverse range of emotions, with the majority reporting feeling neutral (37%) or positive (34%), while a smaller percentage expressed negative (13%) or very negative (8%) sentiments.  

Of those reporting positive feelings, the majority mentioned feeling hopeful (59%), followed by happiness (20%), excitement (16%), and empowerment (7%). Interestingly, even among those with negative emotions, the predominant feeling cited was hopefulness (50%), followed by concern (25%) and sadness (12%). 

Biggest Concerns 

When asked about their three biggest issues of concern in the country, cost of living (83%), unemployment (83%) and Corruption (80%) stood out, followed by Security (62%), education (35%) and healthcare (32%). 

Protests 

The majority, 99% of the participants, are aware of the anti-government protests. Similarly, half of the respondents reported participating in the protests. The majority (88%) believed that the protests reflected a general dissatisfaction with the government. 

When asked to rate the justification for the protests out of ten, 61% gave it high scores above 7/10, with 46% saying the protests are absolutely justified (10/10). 

Reasons for Protesting 

There have been speculations that the Nigeria Protests stemmed from the recent Kenya GenZ protests. When asked whether the protest was inspired by Kenya, 59% denied, whereas 44% agreed. It is crucial to note that there were pressing issues that cultivated the protests. 

The government’s response to these concerns will be crucial in determining the future stability and progress of the nation. Addressing the issue of bad governance, hunger, cost of living, and unemployment are essential steps to meet the protesters’ demands and restore public trust. Here is an analysis of the key themes that emerged from their open-ended responses 

• Bad governance: A significant portion of the participants mentioned that poor governance was the main reason for their involvement. They expressed frustration with widespread corruption, a lack of accountability, and ineffective public administration, which they believe have resulted in inadequate services and declining economic conditions. 

• High Cost of living: Many Nigerians cite the high cost of living as the main reason for their dissatisfaction. The increasing prices of essential goods and services have caused significant financial strain, leading to widespread frustration and anger. A recent survey shows that the rising cost of living has become a major concern, prompting calls for immediate economic reforms and government intervention to alleviate the financial difficulties experienced by the people.  

• Hunger: As many Nigerians are deeply worried about increasing food insecurity and the rising cost of living. The survey shows that widespread hunger and economic difficulties have led to public frustration, prompting people to demand more effective government action to address these critical issues. 

• Unemployment: Many demonstrators have expressed frustration over the lack of adequate job opportunities and the government’s failure to address the increasing unemployment rates. 

• Corruption: One of the main reasons behind the protests was the widespread frustration caused by corruption. Many protesters expressed their dissatisfaction with the pervasive corruption in different government levels, which they believe undermines public trust and hampers development. This feeling of betrayal and unfairness has led to calls for more transparency, accountability, and systemic reforms to tackle the underlying issues contributing to widespread corruption in the country.

Expected Outcomes from the Protests 

The GeoPoll survey sought to understand how the recent protest might influence government policies.  

• Increased government response:  57% of respondents anticipate an increased government response. This indicates that citizens believe the protests will compel the government to take swifter and more decisive action on crucial issues. The public is demanding reforms to address their concerns, including improved governance, better social services, and enhanced accountability. This expectation mirrors a rising call for change, as people become increasingly aware of their potential to influence policy through collective action. 

• Increased youth participation in politics: 29% of the respondents believe that the protests have energized young people, motivating them to become more involved in the political process. This increase in political engagement is expected to create a more dynamic and representative political environment where the voices and concerns of the younger generation are directly addressed in government policies. As a result, there is hope for more inclusive and responsive governance that better reflects the needs and aspirations of Nigeria’s youth. 

• Nothing will change: The survey showed that 15% of the participants think that the recent protests will not lead to any significant change in government policies. This reflects doubt about the impact of public demonstrations in bringing about real reforms. These individuals might believe that previous protests haven’t resulted in substantial policy changes or worry that the government’s response will only involve temporary measures instead of addressing the underlying causes of discontent. 

External Intervention 

There have been calls from the international community, including the UN, the AU, and ambassadors from several countries, for a better response to the ongoing protests. Across different age groups and genders, the majority of respondents (69%) believe that the international community should intervene in response to the protests.  

What the Youth Want: Preferred Government Actions 

Most of the youth interviewed (78%) feel the government is not addressing their needs.  

When asked to list actions they would like the government to take in order to better support the youth, young people in Nigeria are calling for practical solutions that address their immediate and long-term needs. From the open-ended responses in the survey, several key themes emerge regarding what the youth believe the government should do to support them better. Here are the most commonly mentioned responses. 

• Employment opportunities: They emphasize the need for the government to create job opportunities by fostering a more vibrant economic environment, investing in skill development programs, and encouraging entrepreneurship through accessible funding and mentorship. By prioritizing these actions, the government can empower the youth, reduce poverty, and drive sustainable economic growth in the country. 

• Reduce the high cost of living: Young people in Nigeria are calling for practical solutions that directly address the soaring cost of living. They advocate for policies that stabilize prices of essential goods. 

• Listen to the citizens and their grievances: A key demand is for the government to genuinely listen to citizens and their grievances, ensuring that their voices are heard and respected in policymaking processes. They believe that a government that actively engages with its people, acknowledges their concerns, and works collaboratively to find solutions will foster a more inclusive and responsive governance that addresses the real challenges facing the youth. 

• End bad governance: Nigerian youth emphasize the need for transparency, accountability, and improvement in government service provision. They believe that by tackling these root causes of inefficiency and injustice, the government can create an environment where opportunities for personal and national growth are accessible to all, ultimately paving the way for a brighter future for the country. 

• End corruption: They also recognize that corruption undermines opportunities and perpetuates inequality, making it difficult for them to achieve their full potential. By advocating for transparent governance, stricter enforcement of anti-corruption laws, and accountability at all levels of government, the youth are demanding an environment where merit and integrity are rewarded, creating a foundation for a brighter future. 

• Youth inclusivity: The youth in Nigeria are advocating for policies that ensure their voices are heard in decision-making processes, opportunities for meaningful participation in governance, and the creation of platforms that empower them to contribute to national development. The youth believe that inclusive policies will not only address their needs but also harness their potential, leading to a more equitable and 

• Improve Healthcare: Improving healthcare stands out as a top priority, with young people advocating for accessible, affordable, and quality medical services across the country. They emphasize the need for well-equipped hospitals, better trained medical personnel, and the implementation of health education programs that focus on preventive care. By addressing these healthcare challenges, the government can help ensure a healthier and more productive future for Nigeria’s you 

• Education: There is a growing demand for more investment in quality education, which includes, access to modern learning tools, and a curriculum that meets global standards. Young Nigerians are also calling for increased opportunities for scholarships, vocational training, and skills development to ensure that education prepares them to succeed in a competitive world. 

Role of Brands and Businesses in Social Causes 

In the heat of the protests and the following conversations, there were strong sentiments on various companies based on their conduct during the protests. Some brands were roundly criticized while others were highly praised. In the survey, we sought to understand the youths’ perceived role of brands and businesses in social causes.  

Majority of the respondents (86%) think it is important or very important for brands to engage in social causes. 

The youth value values such as product quality (78%), transparency (69%), customer service (61%) and corporate social responsibility (45%) if they are to trust a brand.  

Media 

Media Sources and Coverage 

The ’10 Days of Rage’ protests were covered across the various media sources. The survey findings show that TV (79%), Facebook (51%), radio (48%), newspapers (45%), and Twitter (42%) are the most trusted sources of information.

Mainstream vs Social 

Comparing mainstream and social media, there was a disparity in trust, with mainstream media earning more trust compared to social media. Mainstream media was generally trusted by 82% of the respondents, while social media was trusted by 75%. 

Reliability of news and information 

In times like these, there is a high chance of misinformation spreading. It seems that the youth in Nigeria are aware of this, as when asked whether they verify the news and information they consume, the majority (44%) said they “Always” do, while 34% said they “Often” verify news and information. This highlights a proactive approach among the youth in ensuring the accuracy of the information they receive.  

What Does the Future Hold? 

More youth will vote in the next election 

When asked if they voted in the last election, 24% of eligible young people admitted they did not. However, recent events have sparked a renewed sense of civic duty among the youth, evident in their active participation in protests and their push for government accountability. This heightened commitment is expected to influence future elections, with 83% of young people now planning to vote in the next election to shape the political landscape and drive meaningful change. 

Government will be held accountable by the youth 

In our survey, we asked Nigerian youth to share their hopes and aspirations for the country in the next five months. The responses point to a population that will be actively involved in holding the government accountable and demanding improvements, especially in the areas of the cost of living, governance, corruption, and overall decision-making. 

The future is bright 

In response to the question “How optimistic are you about the future of the country?” the majority of the respondents (36%) were very optimistic, 28% expressed optimism. However, it’s important to note that 26% were neutral, and 14% were pessimistic. Despite this guarded optimism, the youth, who have found their collective voice, believe that things will be better for Nigeria in the future.  

About this Study 

This survey was conducted using the GeoPoll Application and Mobile Website on August 2nd and 7th, 2024. The survey included 410 respondents targeting Nigerians aged 18-45, predominantly the youth (18% aged 18-24, 48% aged 25-34 and 34% aged 35-45). Gender distribution was 69% males and 31% females. Education levels varied: 70% had college degrees, 13% had masters degrees, 12% had secondary education, and 5% had vocational training. Geographically, the sample was nationally representative across all 36 states. 

Data was analyzed using statistical methods to identify trends and demographic differences to provide a nuanced understanding of youth perspectives. Qualitative responses were thematically analyzed to offer deeper insights into motivations and sentiments.